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DEF NFL PREVIEW RAW 2010 [Pt. III of III]

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Right on schedule. For this edition, J. Couch and I break down the divisions into separate nuggets of streaming files. This way, you don't have to sit through a 50-minute podcast. Even if said podcast culminates with a perfect Super Bowl matchup, as ours did in 2009. We'll do the AFC on Tuesday, the NFC on Wednesday, roll out big predictions and playoff trees Thursday.

And now, the respective playoff trees are unveiled. The last AFC team to make the Super Bowl not from Indy, Pitt, or New England? The 2002 Oakland Raiders. Couch and I both think 2010 is the year an upstart breaks through and breaks up the hegemony.

In the NFC, the regular season is crucial: secure home-field and you're in the Super Bowl. These home crowds become too strong a variable for contending forces like Dallas, Minnesota, Green Bay, New Orleans. Any of those teams host the NFC Championship, they will advance. As a bonus, the two of us delve into college football for some reason.


AFC Playoff Preview

NFC Playoff Preview

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DEF NFL PREVIEW RAW 2010 [Pt. II of III]

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Right on schedule. For this edition, J. Couch and I break down the divisions into separate nuggets of streaming files. This way, you don't have to sit through a 50-minute podcast. Even if said podcast culminates with a perfect Super Bowl matchup, as ours did in 2009. We'll do the AFC on Tuesday, the NFC on Wednesday, roll out big predictions and playoff trees Thursday.


Today, a thorough examination of the NFC which stands for "Notably Finer Cities." There's Kansas City, Cincinnati, Jacksonville, Cleveland; then there's Seattle, New York City, Chicago, Atlanta. I'd much rather live in San Francisco than Oakland. The AFC boasts the two best quarterbacks, the best defenses and the overall better football culture, but its best teams stem from Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, and Foxborough. All this without making a Cleveland or Buffalo joke about ugly women.

Good thing football is big enough for the relative disparity in resources and population to mean little. Any other sport, the Packers moved to Orlando decades ago. But I digress, enjoy our considerately arranged podcasts.

NFC West

NFC South

NFC North

NFC East

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DEF NFL PREVIEW RAW 2010 [Pt. I of III]

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Right on schedule. For this edition, J. Couch and I break down the divisions into separate nuggets of streaming files. This way, you don't have to sit through a 50-minute podcast. Even if said podcast culminates with a perfect Super Bowl matchup, as ours did in 2009. We'll do the AFC on Tuesday, the NFC on Wednesday, roll out big predictions and playoff trees Thursday.


One in three American televisions tuned into the NFC Championship; Brett Favre against America's Sweethearts in January and the Greek tragedy that unfolded. There are likely several million stories of drunk goons stumbling home and elated fans falling in love and the dying wishes of elders being fulfilled. A watershed game in the only sport that suffocates our attention span. A galvanizing moment.

I was just happy to see Brad Childress lose. Some friends were watching down the street and two of the bigger personalities put $50 on the game and the broadcast yielded to an enormous pissing contests between rivaling, would-be alpha males. One guy chanted "who dat" to no end. Words were exchanged. He was left at a Kentucky Fried Chicken.

Around here, there's no better sport to follow. A perfectly-structured league that offers cyclical hope to every participant and its sympathizers, that culminates with satisfying and empirical endings. A game devoid of major controversies polluting the results we see with doubt; we can talk ourselves into reasonably believing as much at least. A game built for gambling. A game for the weekends. A game for the brown leaves, for the blizzards. A game for once-in-a-lifetime celebrations. A game for picking up where we left off: Saints-Vikings, Cowboys on the cusp, San Diego hoping to not choke away another home playoff game, Carolina finishing strong and for their lameduck coach. A game for new beginnings: estranged protege Aaron Rodgers facing the mentor, Detroit in capable hands, Mike Martz draining the genius part from his crazy genius moniker.

Onward to predictions!

AFC West

AFC South

AFC North

AFC East

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The Decision: LeBron and finding a new team

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On Thursday night, LeBron James will announce he's joining the New York Knicks. It's in stone.

LeBron James is joining his best friends and fellow all-world Olympic basketball gods Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh in Miami to complete an overwhelming triumvirate. It's a done deal.

LeBron James is too loyal and self-aware to rip out his city's heart on national television. It is written, James must stay and forge glory from good vibes.



At this point, only two facts are patently clear:

  1. LeBron James is a special kind of megalomaniac.
  2. If he chooses to ink with my beloved New York Knicks, I'll have to find another team.

The last time the Knicks mattered, I was on a high school band trip on the scenic Texas Gulf Coast, watching the Vince Carter and Tracy McGrady Raptors knock out the expensive, aging Allan Houston-Latrell Sprewell-Larry Johnson-Patrick Ewing Knicks. It was the spring of 2001, yet I'd fallen in love during the early '90s when NBA Jam emerged on the 5th grade sleepover scene and a Ewing-John Starks combination was the best path to downtown threes and boom-shacka-lacka jams.

The Knicks play in the country's biggest media market (a vital metric to the success of any second tier professional sport), are one of the NBA's most historic franchises. Yet when they previously tasted success, they were a defensive-minded, heartbreaking team notorious for choking, contending, playing with the grit and spark of their hometown.  

But a decade removed from any semblance of hope (save for a few months during the early winter months of 2004 when fiery young administrator, Isiah Thomas, made bold plays for the likes of Stephon Marbury and Penny Hardaway) means the spirit of the Knicks is long dead and a franchise's identity lies at a crossroads.

With offensive guru and former Phoenix Suns coach Mike D'Antoni, along with the signing/reunion of former Suns center Amar'e Stoudemire, along with, say, a point guard like San Antonio's Tony Parker and scoring blizzard, Syracuse hero Carmelo Anthony joining up in 2011, there's a free-flowing, cerebral core for a perpetual playoff contender sure to promise heartbreaking and rewarding spring flings. They'll steadily improve. They'll matter.

With Stoudemire, D'Antoni and LeBron James, the Knicks bandwagon is instantly overloaded with new-gen fans that principally pull for individual players, celebrities in baseball caps, wealthy and very real housewives, Spike Lee, insufferable hip-hop fans and worst of all, fairweather New Yorkers.

The Lakerization in fan culture is an instantly ghastly proposition, but more so when considering the central marketing force would be a farce of a man. Make no mistake, these truths are self-evident:

1. LeBron owes no one anything.


But ripping out the heart of a suffering city takes an Art Modell/Jack Parkman gene not present in hero athletes and admirable men.

But the self-aggrandizement of an hour-long special called "The Decision" means he's fiendishly milking the moment for all it's worth.


2. LeBron certainly has a right to move forward, join forces with his best shot at winning. This is America, advancement is fundamental.

But it means the only two choices are talent-rich, supporting-cast-in-tact Chicago or cutting ties with at least $30 million, hijacking the league with Bosh and Wade in Miami in an ego-checking move reminiscent of the 2008 Boston Celtics.


3. LeBron can chase immortality and the impossible task of restoring titles to the New York Knicks and he just may have the talent and star-power to elevate the NBA past college football as the number two sport in America.


But it means James is a special kind of cocksucker because he'd sacrifice money, the heart and soul and economy of a suffering region that's championed him for nearly a decade and championships (Jordan or Russell would have long ago signed with these Bulls or this Heat force in the making) for a big city with bright lights. He's like that prick from your high school that sells out his parents for an NYU education, that spends Thanksgiving breaks touting the culture, food and nightlife...if that prick from your high school simultaneously left a major dent in the local economy upon departure.
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While we were out

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  • Rammellzee died.
  • Jay-Z and Eminem took over The Late Show with David Letterman as tickets swiftly sold out through devilish gatekeepers for their pair of September shows in Detroit and New York.
  • Eminem released the generally well-received Recovery and sold an astonishing 741,000 copies. Take that, Jayson Greene.
  • Trae's war on Houston radio got increasingly ugly.
  • The elusive, frustrating Son of Chico Dusty leaked. It's good.
  • LeBron James speculation ran rampant. He clearly wants to play in New York and for a contender, so ATG projects a record-breaking pile of money and five-year max deal from the Harlem Globetrotters.
  • The Roots, Rhymefest, The Dream, Z-Ro and Nappy Roots released albums.
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Thank Me Later (Tracklisting)

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What's been the best Thank Me Later leak thus far? How many units will this move when it drops June 15?
Does Drake know what he's doing?

I'll say "Miss Me," 500,000 and yes.


1. Fireworks (Feat. Alicia Keys) [Produced by Crada, 40]
2. Karaoke [Produced by Francis and the Lights]
3. The Resistance  [Produced by 40]
4. Over [Produced by Boi-1 da]
5. Show Me A Good Time [Produced by Kanye West]
6. Up All Night (Feat. Nicki Minaj)  [Produced by Boi-1 da]
7. Fancy (Feat. TI and Swizz Beatz)  [Produced by Swizz Beatz]
8. Shut It Down (Feat. The Dream) [Produced by Omen, 40]
9. Unforgettable (Feat. Young Jeezy) [Produced by Boi-1 da, 40]
10. Light Up (Feat. Jay-Z) [Produced by Tone Mason, 40]
11. Miss Me (Feat. Lil Wayne) [Produced by Boi-1 da, 40]
12. Cece's Interlude [Produced by 40]
13. Find Your Love [Produced by Kanye West, Jeff Basker, No I.D.]
14. Thank Me Now [Produced by Timbaland]
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T.I. on Larry King (video)



The other two parts after the jump. Peace to Yardie.

Interesting interview, T.I. is very guarded and defensive throughout.
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Jay-Z, Eminem announce super concerts at baseball stadiums



Jay-Z and Eminem will co-headline a home-and-home series, performing September 2 in Detroit's Comerica Park and September 13 in a developing little field known to a few as Yankee Stadium. Getcha popcorn ready.

No ticket info yet, but stay tuned.
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NFL Draft First Round furthering thoughts

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The NFL Draft's first round debuted in prime time last night from Radio City Music Hall. NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell embraced the future with a loose, playful evening wherein he bear-hugged players drafted, introduced picks by nicknames like "Silverback," let a Make-A-Wish foundation Steelers fan silence aggressive New Yorkers chanting, perfectly audibly via the hall's excellent acoustics, "she said no, she said no" in timely fashion by having him announce Pittsburgh's pick.

Elsewhere Jon Gruden cussed while reading a text and Steve Young and Todd McShay looked ready to pound Josh McDaniels mafioso style in the men's room for drafting Tim Tebow. ATG's takes:

  • Tebow is an insult to Broncos fans. It's an arrogant pick and shows McDaniels is not an especially deft planner. He trades for Brady Quinn, who is 25. He backstabs his guy, incumbent Kyle Orton, and he blows a first round pick on a wildcat player and a project just so he can secure an opportunity to develop a project and flex his muscle as a quarterback whisperer. Denver has needs and leaks everywhere: no receivers, no tight end, two receivers named Brandon, offensive line problems, secondary problems.
  • Even as a wildcat guy, Tebow was always a bruiser, barrel-the-competition type and he can't do that as a first round pick quarterback in the NFL unless he wants to accept his fate as the next Mike Alstott which would make McDaniels look like an idiot for taking a first rounder on him so it won't happen so he'll be ineffective. In the NFL, your Wildcat player needs to be a slasher: Ronnie Brown, Pat Williams, Tashard Choice. He needs to find a lane and hit the whole fast. Terrible pick.
  • That said, I do think college success translates better than potential and upside and many special college quarterbacks -- Steve Young, Doug Flutie, Drew Brees -- were denied better careers because they didn't fit the specimen mold. Tebow is a self-important, narcissistic man who orders Tim Tebow Kool Aid every time he goes out to bars, but he is a proven winner and him mattering in three years is not an unimaginable thought. Character is crucial and he's a superstar and he's durable and strong and a leader. If Jake Delhomme and Trent Dilfer can get to the Super Bowl, Tim Tebow can be a starter in this league. This does not excuse the first round pick, however.
  • Detroit is trying and it's not stupid blind darts like the Matt Millen era. I don't know how they get to even third place in the NFC North, but kudos for the hope and adorable aggressiveness. They got the best player in the draft gift-wrapped and it felt like a steal at number two overall in Suh; Jahvid Best will be a star and contribute immediately; Tony Scheffler joins Pettigrew as a legitimate tight end weapon and security blanket for young Matthew Stafford; Nate Burleson makes Calvin Johnson that much more deadly; Kyle Vanden Bosch is an under the radar defensive line pickup and I think they'll win seven games and more importantly, learn to win.
  • The Bill Parcells School of Football strikes again: Miami, New England trade down. Just. Wow. New England's been idle all offseason and has a chance to secure the best receiving tandem in the league by drafting Dez Bryant. Two gazelles plus Wes Welker with a three-time Super Bowl winning quarterback gunslinging like 2007. We've never seen two big, tall playmakers on one team; Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin worked out alright in Arizona, yes? You can get to a Super Bowl with an overpowering passing game. You kinda need to nowadays. Bryant and Moss and Welker would have been like when we used to play Madden '03 and paired together Moss and T.O. An avalanche of mismatches. Diva receivers take plays off and the fear is that unlike the video game, the lazy plays and chemistry issues become problems. Again, the all-world passing attack worked out for the Cardinals, Colts and Saints. And here the Pats would have Welker underneath getting 200 catches. Or New England could, you know, get over fact Laurence Maroney was a terrible first rounder and go for a north-south ace like Ryan Matthews or a versatile Brian Westbrook/Barry Sanders hybrid in Jahvid Best. And the pick-flipping hasn't even been that effective, they've missed tons over the last few years: David Thomas over Owen Daniels, Reche Caldwell over Greg Jennings.
  • On that note, props to San Diego for making a bold move for an impact player that fits perfectly in Ryan Matthews. They just won the AFC West. Still...
  • Kansas City is an exciting team and as long as they don't listen to Charlie Weis and draft Jimmy Claussen, they'll finish second at, say, 8-8.
  • Big 12 stand up: our favorite conference produces draft's first four picks and Gerald McCoy's tears were infectious. Great moment.
  • I think the connecting theme this year will be teams getting over past mistakes and atoning will see immediate payoffs and stubbornness will fail. New England comes to mind and ditto for Oakland: JaMarcuss Russell plays like his jersey number and the bigger problem is that he'd honestly rather eat cookies than improve, the Raiders must find another quarterback. Miami loves Sergio Kindle's talent but fears injury, lacks impact talent it needs to be a top flight team. And of course, Denver with its insistence on bringing in project signal callers.
  • The flipside: Detroit making power plays, Buffalo realizing Marshawn Lynch is more trouble than he's worth and securing the most dynamic, versatile, playmaker in the draft. C.J. Spiller is akin to putting Kevin Durant on a shitty NBA team from Oklahoma and letting him go for 40 points on a nightly basis. Spiller will do it all...
  • Best is Jerry Jones swallowing his pride, realizing the sexy impact guys at his position needs (safety, offensive line) are not there and rather than settling for Taylor Mays or the South Florida kid (one of these safeties will be around tonight in round two and if not the Cowboys can get offensive tackle protege Bruce Campbell or former Rhodes Scholar, Myron Rolle), making a poetic, BOLD, CAPSLOCK DECISION to move up and land Dez Bryant by trading with the Pats. Shit just got real for Dallas and people know it. He's penance for passing on Randy Moss (the best receiver of all-time and I'm happy to debate this at length); he's redemption for overvaluing Roy Williams and for mismanaging the Terrell Owens experiment. And as he's said, they are keeping Roy and Tony Romo is committed to improving their chemistry. The Dallas Cowboys just got a difference maker worth two wins. 13-3 and a bye are givens. And how about the Wade Phillips drafts since his unpretentious, let-me-do-my-defensive-guru-thing-and-you-can-have-the-glory-I-don't-care-I-love-cheeseburgers style took over Parcells's ego in 2007: Anthony Spencer, Doug Free, Felix Jones, Mike Jenkins, Martellus Bennett, Tashard Choice, 2009 was about loading up on depth from rounds three-seven and now DEZ FUCKING BRYANT.
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